Bot Betting Edge

Bot Betting Edge

The Blog

This blog will contain my reflections and progress within the field of modelling and predicting sports probabilities, especially for soccer matches inplay. Although placing bets on different matches I don't consider myself as a bettor, I see myself as an investor placing money where I have edge and finds value. Sports betting is fantastic!

Result 2016-01

Betting resultPosted by Tobias Bramhed Fri, February 12, 2016 10:17:49
Hi,

2016 started best possible way:


I managed to get matched in 820 unique markets, turned 322576 SEK (approx. 33875 EUROS) which ended up in a profit of 9516 SEK (approx. 999 EUROS). This equals a ROI of 2.9 %, which is far above my long term target (1.5%). A good start makes it easier to stay with my models even on a rainy day.

When splitting these results down to back type (1,X,2,O/U):


The only problem sign right now is when backing the away team, 0.1 % is to low although the normalised ROI implies that I had some bad luck. The exposure is also to low to act on.

Last year february was a real poor month for me, since then there have been many improvements (and disimprovements...) on the model so if I at least can make a break even in february then I am ahead of 2015 results.

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